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Getting Comfortable with the New Normal Mortgage Rates

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The biggest shock to homebuyers is the soaring mortgage rates of 2022 that doubled in one year resulting in approximately 15 million mortgage ready buyers displaced from the market due to affordability issues. As of February 23, 2023, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage was at 6.5%.   While that is twice as high as it was on January 6, 2022, it is still lower than the 7.75% average rate since April 2, 1971, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. When rates increase at a rapid pace like this, it takes time for the public to adjust and begin to accept it as the new normal. Prior to the housing bust that led to the Great Recession, the normal for mortgage rates was in the 6% range and existing home sales were over 6.5 million for three years.   From 2007 to 2014, home sales were closer to 5 million with 2008-2011 at just above 4 million annually. From January 17, 2008 to March 5, 2020, mortgage rates averaged 4.32%.   In this 12-year period...

When do you lock your mortgage rate?

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Locking your interest rate protects you from increases due to market conditions.   Locking early safeguards your budgeted payment.   By locking the rate, if the market goes up, you get the lower rate; if it goes down after the lock, you may be able to pay a fee and lower the rate. Knowing when to take the lock is determined by which direction you think the market is going.   If you think rates are going up, lock in early.   If you think rates are going down, ride the rate to within a few days of closing. Some lenders may allow a borrower to lock a rate after pre-approval but is more common to not offer a lock until there is a signed contract on a home.   Even with a pre-approval, it could easily take 30 days or more to close a transaction and the rates can move a lot in that period. There may be a fee charged to lock a rate which is determined by the lender.  Generally, the longer the time for the rate lock, the higher the fee. There is ...

Get the Buyer Incentives to Act Now

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Sellers, who last year, were not willing to make any concessions, are much more likely to do so this year due to the softening of the market because of inflation and higher mortgage rates affecting affordability for buyers. Concessions can take place in different forms.   A seller could offer to pay the buyer's closing costs or pay points for the buyer to get an FHA or VA loan.   Another option would be to pay for a 2/1 buydown that would lower the buyer's payments in the first two years of the mortgage. Buydowns can be temporary or permanent and are achieved by pre-paying the interest at the time of closing.   Typically, the seller will do this as an inducement to the buyer.   While individual lenders set the price for permanent buydowns, a common rule-of-thumb would be two points, or two percent of the mortgage amount, to buydown the rate 0.5% for the life of the mortgage. A more common type of buydown is a 2/1 where the payment is calculated at 2% lo...

Compare Before Deciding on the Standard Deduction

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The TCJA of 2019 dramatically increased the standard deduction so that many homeowners benefit from taking that rather than itemizing their deductions.   Taking the standard deduction may result in a larger deduction even if you have no expenses that qualify for claiming itemized deductions. Another thing that made reinforced that was interest rates for mortgages were low at the time and the interest paid plus the property taxes were less than the standard deduction. In 2022, mortgage rates more than doubled, so, anyone who purchased a home or refinanced at the higher rates might benefit from itemizing rather than taking the standard deduction.   The takeaway in this article is to compare both methods each year to see which way provides the larger deduction. For 2022, the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly is $25,900, for single filers and married individuals filing separately is $12,950, and for heads of households is $19,400.   There are ...

Negotiate a Buydown to Get into a Home Now

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If you are a prospective homebuyer, things have changed in the past year.   Most notably, mortgage rates have more than doubled which has created an affordability gap that has taken approximately 15 million buyers out of the market. Inventories are growing but it isn't because more people are deciding to sell their homes; it is because it is taking longer to sell properties because less people are qualified.   Current housing inventory is a little more than a quarter of what it was in 2008. Buyers are wondering when the market will return to normal, as if mortgage rates at three and four percent should be commonplace.   The average mortgage rate between April 1971 and November 2022 is 7.76%. Predictions for mortgage rates in the third quarter 2023 range from 4.5% for Fannie Mae, 5.0% for Mortgage Bankers Association, and 5.2% for Freddie Mac. Traditionally, over the past 35 years, there is a 175-200 basis point difference between the 10-year Treasury and th...

If you're on the sidelines, at least get ready...

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If you're on the sidelines to buy a home, there are things you can do to be ready when you do get back in the game. Improve your credit score to qualify for the best mortgage rate available which are reserved for those with the highest scores.   Get a copy of your current credit reports from all three of the main credit bureaus: Equifax, TransUnion, and Experian.   You can get them at AnnualCreditReport.com without paying for them. While you won't see a credit score on these reports, you will see a history of your available credit accounts.   According to the Federal Trad Commission, one in five people have at least one error on one of their credit reports which can lower your score or increase the cost or likelihood of receiving new credit.   Identify and correct these mistakes.   Explain in writing the error in the report and include copies of documents that support your dispute.   Both the credit bureau and the business that supplied th...

Negotiating Your Position

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The seller wants the most for their home and the buyer wants to pay the least possible.   From the very beginning of the homebuying process, there are adversarial positions between the principals.   If you happen to be in a multi-offer situation, it just complicates things further. Then, there are the emotions that tend to cloud the decision making on both sides of the transaction.   Sellers have lived in the home for years, possibly, with cherished family experiences and maybe, having put considerable effort and money into capital improvements. On the buyer side, they may have lost out on several homes due to competing offers and now, this year, interest rates have doubled, and the discretionary funds required to pay for a home could be causing cuts in their budget in other areas. A year ago, buyers were waiving contingencies for financing, appraisals, inspections, and other things just to be competitive.   Today, to make the home more affordable with ...